Field studies of reptile thermoregulation: how well do physical models predict operative temperatures?

How well do network models predict observations? On the importance of predictability in network models

Network models are an increasingly popular way to abstract complex psychological phenomena. While studying the structure of network models has led to many important insights, little attention has been paid to how well they predict observations. This is despite the fact that predictability is crucial for judging the practical relevance of edges: for instance in clinical practice, predictability ...

How well do experienced software developers predict software change?

How Well Do Current Cardiovascular Risk Factors Predict Risk?

Is There a Need for New Cardiovascular Biomarkers? Discovery of novel biomarkers and improvement of risk prediction algorithms will be a key to fulfill the promise of personalized medicine. Although genuine personalized treatment is probably an unrealistic expectation within the budget constraints of current health systems, a stratified medicine approach to identify individuals at high risk may...

How well do cognitive and environmental variables predict active commuting?

BACKGROUND In recent years, there has been growing interest in theoretical studies integrating cognitions and environmental variables in the prediction of behaviour related to the obesity epidemic. This is the approach adopted in the present study in reference to the theory of planned behaviour. More precisely, the aim of this study was to determine the contribution of cognitive and environment...

Models of affective decision-making: how do feelings predict choice?

Intuitively, how we feel about potential outcomes will determine our decisions. Indeed, one of the most influential theories in psychology, Prospect Theory, implicitly assumes that feelings govern choice. Surprisingly, however, we know very little about the rules by which feelings are transformed into decisions. Here, we characterize a computational model that uses feelings to predict choice. W...